O/U 0.5 Rounds leads at 78%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | O/U 0.5 Rounds | 78% | +29% | - |
| 2 | Ends before Round 3? | 62% | +60% | - |
| 3 | Fight won by KO/TKO? | 52% | +94% | - |
| 4 | O/U 1.5 Rounds | 48% | +108% | $1K |
| 5 | Julian Erosa vs. JeongYeong Lee | 42% | +135% | $67K |
| 6 | Lee to win by KO/TKO? | 40% | +147% | - |
| 7 | Ends before Round 2? | 40% | +147% | - |
| 8 | O/U 2.5 Rounds | 30% | +228% | $22 |
| 9 | Fight won by submission? | 27% | +270% | - |
| 10 | Lee in Round 1 | 24% | +308% | - |
| 11 | Fight to Go the Distance? | 22% | +344% | - |
| 12 | Fight won by decision? | 22% | +344% | - |
| 13 | Decision or Draw | 22% | +344% | - |
| 14 | Erosa in Round 1 | 16% | +506% | - |
| 15 | Lee in Round 2 | 14% | +590% | - |
| 16 | Erosa to win by KO/TKO? | 11% | +809% | - |
| 17 | Erosa in Round 2 | 8% | +1076% | - |
| 18 | Lee in Round 3 | 8% | +1233% | - |
| 19 | Erosa in Round 3 BEST VALUE | 7% | +1329% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve to "Julian Erosa" if Julian Erosa is officially declared the winner of the fight against JeongYeong Lee at UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Nolan, scheduled for October 31, 2026....
This prediction market tracks whether UFC Fight Night: Julian Erosa vs. JeongYeong Lee (Featherweight, Prelims) will occur, with $68K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward O/U 0.5 Rounds at 78%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $68K traded in the last 24 hours alone (99% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-11-01. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Oct 31, 2026 at 21:45 UTC, the leading outcome is O/U 0.5 Rounds at 78% probability, with $68K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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