The market strongly favors Karine Silva vs. Gabriella Fernandes at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Karine Silva vs. Gabriella Fernandes | 100% | - | $185K |
| 2 | O/U 0.5 Rounds | 100% | +1% | - |
| 3 | Fight to Go the Distance? | 98% | +2% | $2K |
| 4 | O/U 2.5 Rounds | 98% | +3% | $1K |
| 5 | O/U 1.5 Rounds | 98% | +3% | - |
| 6 | Fight won by decision? | 50% | +100% | $30 |
| 7 | Ends before Round 3? | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | Silva in Round 1 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 9 | Silva in Round 2 | 50% | +100% | $19 |
| 10 | Silva in Round 3 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | Fernandes in Round 1 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 12 | Fernandes in Round 2 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 13 | Fernandes in Round 3 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 14 | Decision or Draw | 50% | +100% | - |
| 15 | Ends before Round 2? BEST VALUE | 44% | +127% | $35 |
| 16 | Fight won by KO/TKO? | 2% | +3900% | $360 |
| 17 | Fernandes to win by KO/TKO? | 2% | +3900% | - |
| 18 | Fight won by submission? | 2% | +3900% | $320 |
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This market will resolve to "Karine Silva" if Karine Silva is officially declared the winner of the fight against Gabriella Fernandes at UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brady, scheduled for November 7, 20...
This prediction market tracks whether UFC Fight Night: Karine Silva vs. Gabriella Fernandes (Women's Flyweight, Prelims) will occur, with $190K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Karine Silva vs. Gabriella Fernandes is priced at 100%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $186K traded in the last 24 hours alone (98% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-11-08. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Nov 08, 2026 at 00:55 UTC, the leading outcome is Karine Silva vs. Gabriella Fernandes at 100% probability, with $190K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $190K, with $186K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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