O/U 0.5 Rounds leads at 82%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | O/U 0.5 Rounds | 82% | +23% | - |
| 2 | Kyle Daukaus vs. Marc-Andre Barriault | 64% | +57% | $30K |
| 3 | O/U 1.5 Rounds | 57% | +74% | $5 |
| 4 | Ends before Round 3? | 56% | +79% | - |
| 5 | Fight won by KO/TKO? | 41% | +144% | - |
| 6 | O/U 2.5 Rounds | 37% | +170% | $52 |
| 7 | Ends before Round 2? | 34% | +199% | - |
| 8 | Fight to Go the Distance? | 33% | +203% | $1K |
| 9 | Fight won by decision? | 32% | +208% | - |
| 10 | Decision or Draw | 32% | +208% | - |
| 11 | Fight won by submission? | 26% | +285% | - |
| 12 | Daukaus in Round 1 | 24% | +326% | - |
| 13 | Daukaus to win by KO/TKO? | 22% | +344% | - |
| 14 | Barriault to win by KO/TKO? | 18% | +441% | $14 |
| 15 | Daukaus in Round 2 | 14% | +590% | - |
| 16 | Barriault in Round 1 | 10% | +953% | - |
| 17 | Daukaus in Round 3 BEST VALUE | 8% | +1233% | - |
| 18 | Barriault in Round 2 | 8% | +1233% | - |
| 19 | Barriault in Round 3 | 4% | +2122% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve to "Kyle Daukaus" if Kyle Daukaus is officially declared the winner of the fight against Marc-Andre Barriault at UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott, scheduled for October 17,...
This prediction market tracks whether UFC Fight Night: Kyle Daukaus vs. Marc-Andre Barriault (Middleweight, Main Card) will occur, with $31K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward O/U 0.5 Rounds at 82%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $27K traded in the last 24 hours alone (86% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-10-18. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Oct 17, 2026 at 23:45 UTC, the leading outcome is O/U 0.5 Rounds at 82% probability, with $31K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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