The market strongly favors O/U 0.5 Rounds at 90%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | O/U 0.5 Rounds | 90% | +12% | - |
| 2 | O/U 1.5 Rounds | 70% | +42% | - |
| 3 | Louis Jourdain vs. Timmy Cuamba | 62% | +63% | $31K |
| 4 | O/U 2.5 Rounds | 56% | +77% | - |
| 5 | Fight to Go the Distance? | 49% | +104% | $5K |
| 6 | Fight won by decision? | 48% | +111% | - |
| 7 | Decision or Draw | 48% | +111% | - |
| 8 | Ends before Round 3? | 38% | +163% | $5 |
| 9 | Fight won by KO/TKO? | 34% | +190% | - |
| 10 | Jourdain to win by KO/TKO? | 24% | +308% | - |
| 11 | Ends before Round 2? | 20% | +400% | $5 |
| 12 | Fight won by submission? | 20% | +413% | $870 |
| 13 | Jourdain in Round 1 | 14% | +614% | - |
| 14 | Cuamba to win by KO/TKO? | 12% | +770% | - |
| 15 | Jourdain in Round 2 | 12% | +770% | - |
| 16 | Jourdain in Round 3 | 10% | +953% | - |
| 17 | Cuamba in Round 2 | 7% | +1329% | - |
| 18 | Cuamba in Round 1 | 6% | +1438% | - |
| 19 | Cuamba in Round 3 BEST VALUE | 5% | +1900% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve to "Louis Jourdain" if Louis Jourdain is officially declared the winner of the fight against Timmy Cuamba at UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott, scheduled for October 17, 202...
This prediction market tracks whether UFC Fight Night: Louis Jourdain vs. Timmy Cuamba (Bantamweight, Main Card) will occur, with $37K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: O/U 0.5 Rounds is priced at 90%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $35K traded in the last 24 hours alone (94% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-10-18. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Oct 17, 2026 at 20:05 UTC, the leading outcome is O/U 0.5 Rounds at 90% probability, with $37K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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