O/U 0.5 Rounds leads at 82%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | O/U 0.5 Rounds | 82% | +22% | - |
| 2 | Magomed Ankalaev vs. Bogdan Guskov | 80% | +24% | $50K |
| 3 | O/U 1.5 Rounds | 60% | +67% | $2 |
| 4 | Ankalaev to win by KO/TKO? | 54% | +87% | - |
| 5 | Guskov to win by KO/TKO? | 48% | +111% | - |
| 6 | Fight won by submission? | 48% | +111% | $26 |
| 7 | O/U 2.5 Rounds | 44% | +125% | - |
| 8 | Fight won by KO/TKO? | 38% | +163% | - |
| 9 | O/U 3.5 Rounds | 32% | +217% | - |
| 10 | O/U 4.5 Rounds | 26% | +292% | $7 |
| 11 | Fight to Go the Distance? BEST VALUE | 22% | +355% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve to "Magomed Ankalaev" if Magomed Ankalaev is officially declared the winner of the fight against Bogdan Guskov at UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Guskov, scheduled for July 25,...
This prediction market tracks whether UFC Fight Night: Magomed Ankalaev vs. Bogdan Guskov (Light Heavyweight, Main Card) will occur, with $50K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward O/U 0.5 Rounds at 82%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $44K traded in the last 24 hours alone (88% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-07-26. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jul 23, 2026 at 23:55 UTC, the leading outcome is O/U 0.5 Rounds at 82% probability, with $50K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
What Are Prediction Markets? · How to Trade · Odds Calculator · Compare Platforms