Manoel Sousa vs. Richie Miranda leads at 74%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manoel Sousa vs. Richie Miranda | 74% | +34% | $22K |
| 2 | O/U 1.5 Rounds | 73% | +37% | $856 |
| 3 | O/U 0.5 Rounds | 50% | +100% | - |
| 4 | O/U 2.5 Rounds | 48% | +108% | $451 |
| 5 | Fight to Go the Distance? | 44% | +130% | $1K |
| 6 | Fight won by KO/TKO? | 31% | +223% | $59 |
| 7 | Sousa to win by KO/TKO? | 28% | +251% | $451 |
| 8 | Fight won by submission? | 10% | +900% | $73 |
| 9 | Miranda to win by KO/TKO? BEST VALUE | 8% | +1150% | $11 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve to "Manoel Sousa" if Manoel Sousa is officially declared the winner of the fight against Richie Miranda at UFC Fight Night: Gamrot vs Salkilld, scheduled for August 8, 2026....
This prediction market tracks whether UFC Fight Night: Manoel Sousa vs. Richie Miranda (Lightweight, Prelims) will occur, with $25K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward Manoel Sousa vs. Richie Miranda at 74%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $21K traded in the last 24 hours alone (82% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-08-09. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Aug 08, 2026 at 21:45 UTC, the leading outcome is Manoel Sousa vs. Richie Miranda at 74% probability, with $25K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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