O/U 1.5 Rounds leads at 78%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | O/U 1.5 Rounds | 78% | +29% | - |
| 2 | O/U 0.5 Rounds | 76% | +31% | - |
| 3 | O/U 2.5 Rounds | 66% | +50% | - |
| 4 | Fight to Go the Distance? | 61% | +64% | - |
| 5 | Fight won by decision? | 61% | +64% | - |
| 6 | Decision or Draw | 61% | +64% | - |
| 7 | Marvin Vettori vs. Ismail Naurdiev | 44% | +125% | $17K |
| 8 | Fight won by KO/TKO? | 34% | +190% | - |
| 9 | Ends before Round 3? | 32% | +208% | - |
| 10 | Naurdiev to win by KO/TKO? | 31% | +223% | - |
| 11 | Vettori in Round 2 | 27% | +270% | - |
| 12 | Naurdiev in Round 1 | 27% | +270% | - |
| 13 | Naurdiev in Round 2 | 27% | +270% | - |
| 14 | Naurdiev in Round 3 | 27% | +270% | - |
| 15 | Vettori in Round 1 | 26% | +277% | - |
| 16 | Vettori in Round 3 | 26% | +277% | - |
| 17 | Vettori to win by KO/TKO? | 26% | +285% | - |
| 18 | Ends before Round 2? | 26% | +292% | - |
| 19 | Fight won by submission? BEST VALUE | 17% | +488% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve to "Marvin Vettori" if Marvin Vettori is officially declared the winner of the fight against Ismail Naurdiev at UFC 332: Silva vs. Wang, scheduled for October 3, 2026. It wil...
This prediction market tracks whether UFC 332: Marvin Vettori vs. Ismail Naurdiev (Middleweight, Early Prelims) will occur, with $17K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward O/U 1.5 Rounds at 78%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $13K traded in the last 24 hours alone (76% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-10-04. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Oct 01, 2026 at 16:15 UTC, the leading outcome is O/U 1.5 Rounds at 78% probability, with $17K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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