The market strongly favors O/U 0.5 Rounds at 93%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | O/U 0.5 Rounds | 93% | +8% | - |
| 2 | O/U 1.5 Rounds | 80% | +26% | - |
| 3 | O/U 2.5 Rounds | 68% | +46% | $11 |
| 4 | Fight won by decision? | 67% | +49% | - |
| 5 | Fight to Go the Distance? | 66% | +50% | $81 |
| 6 | Decision or Draw | 66% | +53% | $71 |
| 7 | Marlon Vera vs. Charles Jourdain | 34% | +199% | $29K |
| 8 | Ends before Round 3? | 27% | +270% | - |
| 9 | Fight won by KO/TKO? | 16% | +506% | $9 |
| 10 | Fight won by submission? | 16% | +506% | - |
| 11 | Ends before Round 2? | 14% | +641% | - |
| 12 | Vera to win by KO/TKO? | 12% | +700% | - |
| 13 | Vera in Round 1 | 7% | +1329% | - |
| 14 | Vera in Round 2 | 7% | +1329% | - |
| 15 | Jourdain in Round 1 | 7% | +1329% | - |
| 16 | Jourdain in Round 2 | 7% | +1329% | - |
| 17 | Jourdain to win by KO/TKO? | 6% | +1438% | - |
| 18 | Vera in Round 3 BEST VALUE | 5% | +1900% | - |
| 19 | Jourdain in Round 3 | 4% | +2122% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve to "Marlon Vera" if Marlon Vera is officially declared the winner of the fight against Charles Jourdain at UFC 331: Van vs. Pantoja 2, scheduled for September 19, 2026. It wi...
This prediction market tracks whether UFC 331: Marlon Vera vs. Charles Jourdain (Bantamweight, Prelims) will occur, with $29K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: O/U 0.5 Rounds is priced at 93%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $18K traded in the last 24 hours alone (60% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-09-20. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Sep 19, 2026 at 02:15 UTC, the leading outcome is O/U 0.5 Rounds at 93% probability, with $29K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
What Are Prediction Markets? · How to Trade · Odds Calculator · Compare Platforms