O/U 0.5 Rounds leads at 76%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | O/U 0.5 Rounds | 76% | +32% | - |
| 2 | O/U 1.5 Rounds | 57% | +75% | $32 |
| 3 | Fight won by submission? | 47% | +113% | $123 |
| 4 | O/U 2.5 Rounds | 34% | +190% | - |
| 5 | Fight to Go the Distance? | 32% | +217% | - |
| 6 | Fight won by KO/TKO? | 27% | +270% | - |
| 7 | Mullins to win by KO/TKO? | 18% | +471% | - |
| 8 | Melissa Mullins vs. Bia Mesquita | 16% | +506% | $24K |
| 9 | Mesquita to win by KO/TKO? BEST VALUE | 10% | +900% | $78 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve to "Melissa Mullins" if Melissa Mullins is officially declared the winner of the fight against Bia Mesquita at UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi, scheduled for June 20, 2026...
This prediction market tracks whether UFC Fight Night: Melissa Mullins vs. Bia Mesquita (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims) will occur, with $24K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward O/U 0.5 Rounds at 76%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $12K traded in the last 24 hours alone (51% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-06-21. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jun 20, 2026 at 07:05 UTC, the leading outcome is O/U 0.5 Rounds at 76% probability, with $24K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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