The market strongly favors O/U 0.5 Rounds at 92%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | O/U 0.5 Rounds | 92% | +8% | - |
| 2 | O/U 1.5 Rounds | 90% | +10% | - |
| 3 | O/U 4.5 Rounds | 59% | +69% | $100 |
| 4 | Fight to Go the Distance? BEST VALUE | 50% | +100% | - |
| 5 | Fight won by KO/TKO? | 50% | +100% | - |
| 6 | Dvalishvili to win by KO/TKO? | 50% | +100% | - |
| 7 | Yan to win by KO/TKO? | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | Fight won by submission? | 50% | +100% | - |
| 9 | O/U 2.5 Rounds | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | O/U 3.5 Rounds | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | Fight won by decision? | 50% | +100% | - |
| 12 | Ends before Round 2? | 50% | +100% | - |
| 13 | Ends before Round 3? | 50% | +100% | - |
| 14 | Ends before Round 4? | 50% | +100% | - |
| 15 | Ends before Round 5? | 50% | +100% | - |
| 16 | Dvalishvili in Round 1 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 17 | Dvalishvili in Round 2 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 18 | Dvalishvili in Round 3 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 19 | Dvalishvili in Round 4 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 20 | Dvalishvili in Round 5 | 50% | +100% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve to "Merab Dvalishvili" if Merab Dvalishvili is officially declared the winner of the fight against Petr Yan at UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev, scheduled for October 24, 2026....
This prediction market tracks whether UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card) will occur, with $54K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: O/U 0.5 Rounds is priced at 92%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $28K traded in the last 24 hours alone (53% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-10-25. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Oct 19, 2026 at 06:15 UTC, the leading outcome is O/U 0.5 Rounds at 92% probability, with $54K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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