Market is split — Ends before Round 2? at 56%. High uncertainty = high risk/reward opportunity.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ends before Round 2? | 56% | +77% | $640 |
| 2 | Dumas in Round 1 | 55% | +82% | - |
| 3 | Gall in Round 1 | 54% | +85% | - |
| 4 | Decision or Draw | 54% | +87% | - |
| 5 | Dumas in Round 3 | 52% | +92% | - |
| 6 | Gall in Round 2 | 51% | +96% | - |
| 7 | Mickey Gall vs. Sedriques Dumas | 50% | +98% | $28K |
| 8 | O/U 0.5 Rounds | 50% | +98% | $28K |
| 9 | O/U 1.5 Rounds | 50% | +98% | $1K |
| 10 | Ends before Round 3? | 50% | +98% | $750 |
| 11 | Fight to Go the Distance? | 50% | +102% | $4K |
| 12 | Dumas to win by KO/TKO? | 50% | +102% | $1K |
| 13 | Fight won by submission? | 50% | +102% | $330 |
| 14 | O/U 2.5 Rounds | 50% | +102% | $20K |
| 15 | Gall in Round 3 | 50% | +102% | $148 |
| 16 | Fight won by KO/TKO? | 49% | +104% | $1K |
| 17 | Gall to win by KO/TKO? | 49% | +104% | $1K |
| 18 | Dumas in Round 2 | 49% | +104% | - |
| 19 | Fight won by decision? BEST VALUE | 48% | +108% | $209 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve to "Mickey Gall" if Mickey Gall is officially declared the winner of the fight against Sedriques Dumas at UFC Fight Night: Rosas Jr. vs. Barcelos, scheduled for September 26,...
This prediction market tracks whether UFC Fight Night: Mickey Gall vs. Sedriques Dumas (Middleweight, Prelims) will occur, with $87K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market is closely contested, with Ends before Round 2? leading at just 56%. This near-even split signals high uncertainty among traders, creating potential value opportunities for those with strong conviction based on their own analysis of the underlying factors.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $87K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-09-27. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Sep 24, 2026 at 20:25 UTC, the leading outcome is Ends before Round 2? at 56% probability, with $87K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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