The market strongly favors O/U 0.5 Rounds at 91%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | O/U 0.5 Rounds | 91% | +10% | - |
| 2 | O/U 1.5 Rounds | 76% | +32% | - |
| 3 | O/U 2.5 Rounds | 62% | +60% | $345 |
| 4 | Fight to Go the Distance? | 57% | +74% | $3 |
| 5 | Morgan Charrière vs. Felipe Lima | 36% | +182% | $36K |
| 6 | Fight won by KO/TKO? | 26% | +285% | $1K |
| 7 | Fight won by submission? | 14% | +590% | - |
| 8 | Charrière to win by KO/TKO? | 14% | +641% | - |
| 9 | Lima to win by KO/TKO? BEST VALUE | 12% | +700% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve to "Morgan Charrière" if Morgan Charrière is officially declared the winner of the fight against Felipe Lima at UFC Fight Night: Hooker vs. Parnasse, scheduled for September 5...
This prediction market tracks whether UFC Fight Night: Morgan Charrière vs. Felipe Lima (Featherweight, Main Card) will occur, with $38K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: O/U 0.5 Rounds is priced at 91%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $17K traded in the last 24 hours alone (45% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-09-06. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Sep 05, 2026 at 02:55 UTC, the leading outcome is O/U 0.5 Rounds at 91% probability, with $38K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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