The market strongly favors O/U 0.5 Rounds at 90%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | O/U 0.5 Rounds | 90% | +12% | - |
| 2 | Nathaniel Wood vs. Pavel Andrusca | 72% | +38% | $19K |
| 3 | O/U 1.5 Rounds | 72% | +38% | - |
| 4 | O/U 2.5 Rounds | 60% | +65% | $1K |
| 5 | Fight to Go the Distance? | 52% | +90% | - |
| 6 | Fight won by decision? | 52% | +90% | - |
| 7 | Decision or Draw | 52% | +90% | - |
| 8 | Fight won by KO/TKO? | 35% | +186% | - |
| 9 | Ends before Round 3? | 34% | +194% | - |
| 10 | Ends before Round 2? | 20% | +413% | - |
| 11 | Wood to win by KO/TKO? | 18% | +441% | $13 |
| 12 | Andrusca to win by KO/TKO? | 13% | +669% | $3K |
| 13 | Fight won by submission? | 12% | +733% | - |
| 14 | Wood in Round 1 | 12% | +770% | - |
| 15 | Wood in Round 2 | 9% | +1011% | - |
| 16 | Wood in Round 3 | 9% | +1011% | - |
| 17 | Andrusca in Round 1 | 8% | +1076% | - |
| 18 | Andrusca in Round 2 | 7% | +1329% | - |
| 19 | Andrusca in Round 3 BEST VALUE | 6% | +1567% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve to "Nathaniel Wood" if Nathaniel Wood is officially declared the winner of the fight against Pavel Andrusca at UFC Fight Night: Hooker vs. Parnasse, scheduled for September 5,...
This prediction market tracks whether UFC Fight Night: Nathaniel Wood vs. Pavel Andrusca (Featherweight, Prelims) will occur, with $23K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: O/U 0.5 Rounds is priced at 90%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $23K traded in the last 24 hours alone (99% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-09-06. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Sep 04, 2026 at 23:05 UTC, the leading outcome is O/U 0.5 Rounds at 90% probability, with $23K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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