The market strongly favors Steele to win by KO/TKO? at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Steele to win by KO/TKO? | 100% | +0% | $841 |
| 2 | O/U 0.5 Rounds | 100% | +1% | - |
| 3 | Fight won by KO/TKO? | 98% | +3% | $205 |
| 4 | Ends before Round 2? | 50% | +98% | $22 |
| 5 | Ends before Round 3? BEST VALUE | 50% | +100% | - |
| 6 | Gugnon in Round 1 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 7 | Gugnon in Round 2 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | Gugnon in Round 3 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 9 | Steele in Round 1 | 50% | +100% | $5 |
| 10 | Steele in Round 2 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | Steele in Round 3 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 12 | Gugnon to win by KO/TKO? | 2% | +3900% | $100 |
| 13 | Fight won by decision? | 2% | +3900% | - |
| 14 | Decision or Draw | 2% | +3900% | - |
| 15 | Fight won by submission? | 2% | +3982% | $31 |
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This market will resolve to "Noah Gugnon" if Noah Gugnon is officially declared the winner of the fight against Kody Steele at UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev, scheduled for October 24, 2026. It will...
This prediction market tracks whether UFC 333: Noah Gugnon vs. Kody Steele (Lightweight, Early Prelims) will occur, with $245K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Steele to win by KO/TKO? is priced at 100%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $242K traded in the last 24 hours alone (99% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-10-25. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Oct 24, 2026 at 15:25 UTC, the leading outcome is Steele to win by KO/TKO? at 100% probability, with $245K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $245K, with $242K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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