Ends before Round 3? leads at 76%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ends before Round 3? | 76% | +32% | - |
| 2 | O/U 0.5 Rounds | 66% | +53% | - |
| 3 | Ends before Round 2? | 57% | +74% | - |
| 4 | Fight won by submission? | 46% | +120% | $10 |
| 5 | Niko Price vs. Leon Shahbazyan | 42% | +141% | $55K |
| 6 | Shahbazyan in Round 1 | 38% | +163% | - |
| 7 | Fight won by KO/TKO? | 37% | +170% | $100 |
| 8 | O/U 1.5 Rounds | 32% | +208% | $1K |
| 9 | Price to win by KO/TKO? | 24% | +308% | - |
| 10 | Price in Round 1 | 20% | +413% | - |
| 11 | O/U 2.5 Rounds | 19% | +426% | - |
| 12 | Fight won by decision? | 18% | +471% | - |
| 13 | Decision or Draw | 18% | +471% | - |
| 14 | Fight to Go the Distance? | 16% | +525% | - |
| 15 | Shahbazyan to win by KO/TKO? | 14% | +590% | - |
| 16 | Price in Round 2 | 10% | +900% | - |
| 17 | Shahbazyan in Round 2 | 9% | +1011% | - |
| 18 | Price in Round 3 | 6% | +1567% | - |
| 19 | Shahbazyan in Round 3 BEST VALUE | 6% | +1718% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve to "Niko Price" if Niko Price is officially declared the winner of the fight against Leon Shahbazyan at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan, scheduled for October 10, 2026. It...
This prediction market tracks whether UFC Fight Night: Niko Price vs. Leon Shahbazyan (Welterweight, Prelims) will occur, with $56K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward Ends before Round 3? at 76%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $54K traded in the last 24 hours alone (95% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-10-11. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Oct 10, 2026 at 16:25 UTC, the leading outcome is Ends before Round 3? at 76% probability, with $56K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
What Are Prediction Markets? · How to Trade · Odds Calculator · Compare Platforms