Ends before Round 3? leads at 82%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ends before Round 3? | 82% | +21% | $187 |
| 2 | O/U 0.5 Rounds | 64% | +56% | $4 |
| 3 | Ends before Round 2? | 62% | +60% | $39 |
| 4 | Fight won by KO/TKO? | 60% | +68% | $520 |
| 5 | Yakhyaev to win by KO/TKO? | 56% | +80% | $90 |
| 6 | Yakhyaev in Round 1 | 55% | +83% | $93 |
| 7 | O/U 1.5 Rounds | 30% | +239% | - |
| 8 | Fight won by submission? | 29% | +245% | $42 |
| 9 | Nikita Krylov vs. Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev | 17% | +488% | $24K |
| 10 | O/U 2.5 Rounds | 17% | +488% | - |
| 11 | Yakhyaev in Round 2 | 17% | +488% | - |
| 12 | Fight to Go the Distance? | 14% | +641% | $13 |
| 13 | Fight won by decision? | 12% | +770% | - |
| 14 | Decision or Draw | 12% | +770% | - |
| 15 | Krylov to win by KO/TKO? | 9% | +1011% | - |
| 16 | Krylov in Round 1 | 8% | +1150% | - |
| 17 | Krylov in Round 2 | 7% | +1329% | - |
| 18 | Yakhyaev in Round 3 | 6% | +1718% | - |
| 19 | Krylov in Round 3 BEST VALUE | 5% | +1900% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve to "Nikita Krylov" if Nikita Krylov is officially declared the winner of the fight against Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev at UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev, scheduled for October 24,...
This prediction market tracks whether UFC 333: Nikita Krylov vs. Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev (Light Heavyweight, Prelims) will occur, with $25K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward Ends before Round 3? at 82%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $15K traded in the last 24 hours alone (62% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-10-25. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Oct 23, 2026 at 13:05 UTC, the leading outcome is Ends before Round 3? at 82% probability, with $25K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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