The market strongly favors Cavalcanti in Round 1 at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cavalcanti in Round 1 | 100% | +0% | - |
| 2 | Ends before Round 2? | 100% | +1% | - |
| 3 | Cavalcanti to win by KO/TKO? | 96% | +4% | $446 |
| 4 | Fight won by KO/TKO? | 93% | +7% | $53 |
| 5 | Ends before Round 3? | 90% | +10% | - |
| 6 | Fight won by decision? | 10% | +953% | - |
| 7 | Ravello in Round 1 | 10% | +953% | - |
| 8 | Ravello in Round 2 | 10% | +953% | - |
| 9 | Ravello in Round 3 | 10% | +953% | - |
| 10 | Cavalcanti in Round 2 | 10% | +953% | - |
| 11 | Cavalcanti in Round 3 | 10% | +953% | - |
| 12 | Decision or Draw | 10% | +953% | - |
| 13 | O/U 1.5 Rounds BEST VALUE | 9% | +1011% | $2K |
| 14 | O/U 2.5 Rounds | 9% | +1011% | $5 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve to "Oscar Ravello" if Oscar Ravello is officially declared the winner of the fight against Igor Cavalcanti at Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 6, scheduled for S...
This prediction market tracks whether Dana White's Contender Series: Oscar Ravello vs. Igor Cavalcanti (Middleweight, Main Card) will occur, with $30K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Cavalcanti in Round 1 is priced at 100%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $29K traded in the last 24 hours alone (96% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-09-16. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Sep 16, 2026 at 00:55 UTC, the leading outcome is Cavalcanti in Round 1 at 100% probability, with $30K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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