The market strongly favors O/U 0.5 Rounds at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | O/U 0.5 Rounds | 100% | +1% | $103 |
| 2 | Fight won by KO/TKO? | 53% | +89% | $2K |
| 3 | Wellmaker to win by KO/TKO? | 53% | +89% | $2K |
| 4 | O/U 1.5 Rounds | 52% | +90% | $1K |
| 5 | O/U 2.5 Rounds | 50% | +98% | $5K |
| 6 | Fight to Go the Distance? | 48% | +111% | $9K |
| 7 | Decision or Draw | 43% | +133% | - |
| 8 | Ends before Round 3? | 42% | +141% | $145 |
| 9 | Wellmaker in Round 2 | 36% | +174% | $416 |
| 10 | Fight won by decision? | 35% | +186% | - |
| 11 | Otari Tanzilovi vs. Malcolm Wellmaker | 25% | +300% | $159K |
| 12 | Wellmaker in Round 3 | 20% | +400% | - |
| 13 | Tanzilovi in Round 2 | 16% | +525% | - |
| 14 | Tanzilovi to win by KO/TKO? | 12% | +770% | $336 |
| 15 | Tanzilovi in Round 3 | 10% | +900% | $20 |
| 16 | Fight won by submission? BEST VALUE | 10% | +953% | $3K |
| 17 | Ends before Round 2? | 3% | +3233% | $233 |
| 18 | Tanzilovi in Round 1 | 3% | +3233% | - |
| 19 | Wellmaker in Round 1 | 3% | +3233% | $836 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve to "Otari Tanzilovi" if Otari Tanzilovi is officially declared the winner of the fight against Malcolm Wellmaker at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan, scheduled for October 10...
This prediction market tracks whether UFC Fight Night: Otari Tanzilovi vs. Malcolm Wellmaker (Bantamweight, Main Card) will occur, with $69K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: O/U 0.5 Rounds is priced at 100%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $58K traded in the last 24 hours alone (84% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-10-11. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Oct 11, 2026 at 00:25 UTC, the leading outcome is O/U 0.5 Rounds at 100% probability, with $69K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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