The market strongly favors Fight won by KO/TKO? at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fight won by KO/TKO? | 100% | - | $208 |
| 2 | Hernandez to win by KO/TKO? | 100% | - | $976 |
| 3 | O/U 0.5 Rounds | 100% | - | - |
| 4 | O/U 1.5 Rounds | 100% | - | $877 |
| 5 | Ends before Round 3? | 100% | - | $528 |
| 6 | Hernandez in Round 2 | 100% | - | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve to "Rafael Dos Anjos" if Rafael Dos Anjos is officially declared the winner of the fight against Alexander Hernandez at UFC 332: Silva vs. Wang, scheduled for October 3, 2026....
This prediction market tracks whether UFC 332: Rafael Dos Anjos vs. Alexander Hernandez (Lightweight, Early Prelims) will occur, with $251K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Fight won by KO/TKO? is priced at 100%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $243K traded in the last 24 hours alone (97% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-10-04. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Oct 03, 2026 at 22:05 UTC, the leading outcome is Fight won by KO/TKO? at 100% probability, with $251K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $251K, with $243K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
What Are Prediction Markets? · How to Trade · Odds Calculator · Compare Platforms