O/U 0.5 Rounds leads at 84%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | O/U 0.5 Rounds | 84% | +19% | - |
| 2 | Fight won by KO/TKO? | 56% | +77% | - |
| 3 | O/U 1.5 Rounds | 56% | +77% | - |
| 4 | Ends before Round 3? | 56% | +79% | - |
| 5 | Roque Conceição vs. Alexander Chavez | 48% | +106% | $12K |
| 6 | O/U 2.5 Rounds | 34% | +190% | - |
| 7 | Fight to Go the Distance? | 33% | +203% | - |
| 8 | Chavez to win by KO/TKO? | 30% | +228% | - |
| 9 | Ends before Round 2? | 30% | +239% | - |
| 10 | Conceição to win by KO/TKO? | 28% | +257% | - |
| 11 | Fight won by decision? | 26% | +292% | - |
| 12 | Decision or Draw | 25% | +300% | - |
| 13 | Fight won by submission? | 19% | +426% | - |
| 14 | Conceição in Round 1 | 16% | +525% | - |
| 15 | Chavez in Round 1 | 15% | +567% | - |
| 16 | Conceição in Round 2 | 14% | +590% | - |
| 17 | Chavez in Round 2 | 14% | +590% | - |
| 18 | Conceição in Round 3 BEST VALUE | 12% | +700% | - |
| 19 | Chavez in Round 3 | 12% | +700% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve to "Roque Conceição" if Roque Conceição is officially declared the winner of the fight against Alexander Chavez at Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 9, scheduled...
This prediction market tracks whether Dana White's Contender Series: Roque Conceição vs. Alexander Chavez (Flyweight, Main Card) will occur, with $12K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward O/U 0.5 Rounds at 84%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $12K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-10-07. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Oct 06, 2026 at 20:15 UTC, the leading outcome is O/U 0.5 Rounds at 84% probability, with $12K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
What Are Prediction Markets? · How to Trade · Odds Calculator · Compare Platforms