O/U 0.5 Rounds leads at 72%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | O/U 0.5 Rounds | 72% | +39% | - |
| 2 | O/U 1.5 Rounds | 65% | +54% | - |
| 3 | O/U 2.5 Rounds | 64% | +57% | $5K |
| 4 | Stephen Thompson vs. Charles Radtke | 57% | +74% | $21K |
| 5 | Fight won by decision? | 55% | +82% | - |
| 6 | Decision or Draw | 55% | +82% | - |
| 7 | Fight to Go the Distance? | 53% | +89% | - |
| 8 | Fight won by KO/TKO? | 38% | +163% | - |
| 9 | Ends before Round 3? | 38% | +163% | - |
| 10 | Ends before Round 2? | 31% | +223% | - |
| 11 | Thompson to win by KO/TKO? | 30% | +233% | - |
| 12 | Radtke to win by KO/TKO? | 30% | +239% | - |
| 13 | Fight won by submission? | 28% | +257% | - |
| 14 | Radtke in Round 1 | 27% | +270% | - |
| 15 | Thompson in Round 1 BEST VALUE | 26% | +277% | - |
| 16 | Thompson in Round 2 | 26% | +277% | - |
| 17 | Thompson in Round 3 | 26% | +277% | - |
| 18 | Radtke in Round 2 | 26% | +277% | - |
| 19 | Radtke in Round 3 | 26% | +277% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve to "Stephen Thompson" if Stephen Thompson is officially declared the winner of the fight against Charles Radtke at UFC 334: Gane vs. Hokit, scheduled for November 14, 2026. I...
This prediction market tracks whether UFC 334: Stephen Thompson vs. Charles Radtke (Welterweight, Prelims) will occur, with $26K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward O/U 0.5 Rounds at 72%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $18K traded in the last 24 hours alone (70% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-11-15. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Nov 12, 2026 at 06:45 UTC, the leading outcome is O/U 0.5 Rounds at 72% probability, with $26K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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