Fight won by KO/TKO? leads at 72%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fight won by KO/TKO? | 72% | +40% | - |
| 2 | Ends before Round 3? | 69% | +45% | - |
| 3 | Despaigne to win by KO/TKO? | 68% | +48% | - |
| 4 | O/U 0.5 Rounds | 60% | +65% | $6 |
| 5 | Ends before Round 2? | 60% | +65% | - |
| 6 | Despaigne in Round 1 | 57% | +74% | - |
| 7 | O/U 1.5 Rounds | 30% | +239% | - |
| 8 | O/U 2.5 Rounds | 28% | +257% | - |
| 9 | Despaigne in Round 2 | 28% | +264% | - |
| 10 | Fight to Go the Distance? | 27% | +270% | - |
| 11 | Fight won by submission? | 27% | +270% | - |
| 12 | Fight won by decision? | 27% | +270% | - |
| 13 | Decision or Draw | 27% | +270% | - |
| 14 | Despaigne in Round 3 | 26% | +277% | - |
| 15 | Tuivasa to win by KO/TKO? | 26% | +285% | - |
| 16 | Tuivasa in Round 1 | 26% | +285% | - |
| 17 | Tuivasa in Round 2 | 26% | +285% | - |
| 18 | Tuivasa in Round 3 | 26% | +285% | - |
| 19 | Tai Tuivasa vs. Robelis Despaigne BEST VALUE | 14% | +590% | $36K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve to "Tai Tuivasa" if Tai Tuivasa is officially declared the winner of the fight against Robelis Despaigne at UFC 331: Van vs. Pantoja 2, scheduled for September 19, 2026. It w...
This prediction market tracks whether UFC 331: Tai Tuivasa vs. Robelis Despaigne (Heavyweight, Prelims) will occur, with $36K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward Fight won by KO/TKO? at 72%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $31K traded in the last 24 hours alone (85% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-09-20. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Sep 15, 2026 at 19:05 UTC, the leading outcome is Fight won by KO/TKO? at 72% probability, with $36K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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