The market strongly favors Fight won by KO/TKO? at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fight won by KO/TKO? | 100% | +0% | $315 |
| 2 | Szabová to win by KO/TKO? | 100% | +0% | $398 |
| 3 | O/U 2.5 Rounds | 100% | +0% | $19K |
| 4 | Szabová in Round 3 | 56% | +78% | $12 |
| 5 | O/U 0.5 Rounds | 50% | +98% | $10 |
| 6 | O/U 1.5 Rounds | 50% | +100% | $161 |
| 7 | Ends before Round 3? | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | Lisboa to win by KO/TKO? | 50% | +100% | - |
| 9 | Lisboa in Round 1 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | Lisboa in Round 2 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | Lisboa in Round 3 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 12 | Szabová in Round 2 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 13 | Ends before Round 2? | 44% | +127% | $90 |
| 14 | Szabová in Round 1 | 44% | +127% | $60 |
| 15 | Fight won by decision? BEST VALUE | 44% | +128% | $6 |
| 16 | Decision or Draw | 3% | +3233% | $80 |
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This market will resolve to "Tainara Lisboa" if Tainara Lisboa is officially declared the winner of the fight against Lucia Szabová at UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Nolan, scheduled for October 31, 202...
This prediction market tracks whether UFC Fight Night: Tainara Lisboa vs. Lucia Szabová (Women's Flyweight, Prelims) will occur, with $146K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Fight won by KO/TKO? is priced at 100%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $126K traded in the last 24 hours alone (86% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-11-01. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Oct 31, 2026 at 21:45 UTC, the leading outcome is Fight won by KO/TKO? at 100% probability, with $146K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $146K, with $126K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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