O/U 0.5 Rounds leads at 66%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | O/U 0.5 Rounds | 66% | +53% | - |
| 2 | O/U 1.5 Rounds | 62% | +61% | $5K |
| 3 | Thomas Petersen vs. Gabriel Lorenço | 62% | +63% | $9K |
| 4 | Fight to Go the Distance? | 51% | +96% | - |
| 5 | Fight won by KO/TKO? | 50% | +100% | - |
| 6 | Petersen to win by KO/TKO? | 50% | +100% | - |
| 7 | Lorenço to win by KO/TKO? | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | Fight won by submission? | 50% | +100% | - |
| 9 | Fight won by decision? | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | Ends before Round 2? | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | Ends before Round 3? | 50% | +100% | - |
| 12 | Petersen in Round 1 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 13 | Petersen in Round 2 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 14 | Petersen in Round 3 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 15 | Lorenço in Round 1 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 16 | Lorenço in Round 2 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 17 | Lorenço in Round 3 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 18 | Decision or Draw | 50% | +100% | - |
| 19 | O/U 2.5 Rounds BEST VALUE | 39% | +156% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve to "Thomas Petersen" if Thomas Petersen is officially declared the winner of the fight against Gabriel Lorenço at UFC Fight Night: Cortes Acosta vs. Walker, scheduled for Nove...
This prediction market tracks whether UFC Fight Night: Thomas Petersen vs. Gabriel Lorenço (Heavyweight, Prelims) will occur, with $14K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward O/U 0.5 Rounds at 66%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $13K traded in the last 24 hours alone (92% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-11-08. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Nov 05, 2026 at 07:15 UTC, the leading outcome is O/U 0.5 Rounds at 66% probability, with $14K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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