Noche UFC: Tim Elliott vs. Édgar Cháirez (Flyweight, Prelims)

Ends Sep 13, 2026 · Volume: $17K · 24h: $12K · Updated Sep 11, 2026 at 23:15 UTC
PredScope Signal: Leaning

O/U 0.5 Rounds leads at 72%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.

🔥 Surging 24h volume is 71% of total — extremely active trading
# Outcome Probability If Right Volume
1 O/U 0.5 Rounds 72% +40% -
2 O/U 1.5 Rounds 61% +64% -
3 O/U 2.5 Rounds 55% +83% $7K
4 Fight to Go the Distance? 44% +127% -
5 Fight won by submission? 42% +135% $71
6 Tim Elliott vs. Édgar Cháirez 34% +190% $11K
7 Fight won by KO/TKO? 28% +257% $2
8 Cháirez to win by KO/TKO? 28% +257% -
9 Elliott to win by KO/TKO? BEST VALUE 25% +300% -
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Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence

Quick Math — $100 on O/U 0.5 Rounds
Buy Price
$0.71
If Right
+$39.86
Return
+40%
If wrong, you lose your $100 investment. Prediction markets carry risk.

This market will resolve to "Tim Elliott" if Tim Elliott is officially declared the winner of the fight against Édgar Cháirez at Noche UFC: Silva vs. Delgado, scheduled for September 12, 2026. It wil...

Market Analysis

This prediction market tracks whether Noche UFC: Tim Elliott vs. Édgar Cháirez (Flyweight, Prelims) will occur, with $17K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.

Traders lean toward O/U 0.5 Rounds at 72%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.

Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $12K traded in the last 24 hours alone (71% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.

This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-09-13. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.

Total Volume
$17K
Liquidity
$133K

FAQ

What are the current odds for Noche UFC: Tim Elliott vs. Édgar Cháirez (Flyweight, Prelims)?

As of Sep 11, 2026 at 23:15 UTC, the leading outcome is O/U 0.5 Rounds at 72% probability, with $17K in total trading volume on Polymarket.

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