O/U 0.5 Rounds leads at 71%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | O/U 0.5 Rounds | 71% | +41% | - |
| 2 | O/U 1.5 Rounds | 58% | +71% | $2 |
| 3 | Fight to Go the Distance? | 49% | +104% | - |
| 4 | Vicente Luque vs. Tresean Gore | 48% | +106% | $58K |
| 5 | O/U 2.5 Rounds | 42% | +141% | $19 |
| 6 | Fight won by submission? | 41% | +144% | - |
| 7 | Fight won by KO/TKO? | 40% | +150% | - |
| 8 | Luque to win by KO/TKO? | 40% | +153% | - |
| 9 | Gore to win by KO/TKO? BEST VALUE | 29% | +245% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve to "Vicente Luque" if Vicente Luque is officially declared the winner of the fight against Tresean Gore at UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry, scheduled for August 15, 2026....
This prediction market tracks whether UFC 330: Vicente Luque vs. Tresean Gore (Middleweight, Early Prelims) will occur, with $58K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward O/U 0.5 Rounds at 71%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $48K traded in the last 24 hours alone (82% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-08-16. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Aug 13, 2026 at 04:15 UTC, the leading outcome is O/U 0.5 Rounds at 71% probability, with $58K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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