The market strongly favors O/U 0.5 Rounds at 93%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | O/U 0.5 Rounds | 93% | +8% | - |
| 2 | O/U 1.5 Rounds | 84% | +19% | - |
| 3 | O/U 2.5 Rounds | 75% | +33% | $1K |
| 4 | Fight won by decision? | 72% | +38% | - |
| 5 | Decision or Draw | 72% | +38% | - |
| 6 | Fight to Go the Distance? | 70% | +42% | $2K |
| 7 | Yana Santos vs. Luana Santos | 24% | +308% | $28K |
| 8 | Ends before Round 3? | 23% | +335% | $42 |
| 9 | Fight won by submission? | 20% | +413% | $213 |
| 10 | Ends before Round 2? | 14% | +641% | $167 |
| 11 | Santos in Round 1 | 10% | +953% | - |
| 12 | Fight won by KO/TKO? | 8% | +1076% | - |
| 13 | Santos in Round 2 | 8% | +1233% | - |
| 14 | Santos in Round 3 BEST VALUE | 6% | +1567% | - |
| 15 | Santos to win by KO/TKO? | 4% | +2122% | - |
| 16 | Santos to win by KO/TKO? | 4% | +2369% | - |
| 17 | Santos in Round 1 | 4% | +2717% | - |
| 18 | Santos in Round 2 | 3% | +3409% | - |
| 19 | Santos in Round 3 | 3% | +3604% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve to "Yana Santos" if Yana Santos is officially declared the winner of the fight against Luana Santos at UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Nolan, scheduled for October 31, 2026. It...
This prediction market tracks whether UFC Fight Night: Yana Santos vs. Luana Santos (Women's Bantamweight, Main Card) will occur, with $32K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: O/U 0.5 Rounds is priced at 93%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $27K traded in the last 24 hours alone (84% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-11-01. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Oct 31, 2026 at 21:45 UTC, the leading outcome is O/U 0.5 Rounds at 93% probability, with $32K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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