Fight won by KO/TKO? leads at 60%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fight won by KO/TKO? | 60% | +65% | $63 |
| 2 | O/U 0.5 Rounds | 58% | +72% | - |
| 3 | Zachary Reese vs. Ryan Gandra | 44% | +130% | $51K |
| 4 | Gandra to win by KO/TKO? | 40% | +147% | $64 |
| 5 | O/U 1.5 Rounds | 38% | +167% | $75 |
| 6 | O/U 2.5 Rounds | 30% | +228% | - |
| 7 | Fight won by submission? | 20% | +400% | - |
| 8 | Reese to win by KO/TKO? | 19% | +426% | $107 |
| 9 | Fight to Go the Distance? BEST VALUE | 17% | +488% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve to "Zachary Reese" if Zachary Reese is officially declared the winner of the fight against Ryan Gandra at UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2, scheduled for July 11, 2026. It wi...
This prediction market tracks whether UFC 329: Zachary Reese vs. Ryan Gandra (Middleweight, Early Prelims) will occur, with $51K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward Fight won by KO/TKO? at 60%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $43K traded in the last 24 hours alone (85% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-07-12. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jul 10, 2026 at 15:55 UTC, the leading outcome is Fight won by KO/TKO? at 60% probability, with $51K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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