The market strongly favors O/U 0.5 at 88%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | O/U 0.5 | 88% | +14% | $162 |
| 2 | 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 70% | +44% | - |
| 3 | Bulgaria O/U 0.5 | 69% | +45% | $1 |
| 4 | O/U 1.5 | 60% | +65% | $2K |
| 5 | Luxembourg O/U 0.5 | 60% | +68% | - |
| 6 | 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 59% | +69% | $279 |
| 7 | Bulgaria 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | Bulgaria 2nd Half O/U 3.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 9 | Luxembourg 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | Luxembourg 2nd Half O/U 3.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | Luxembourg (-4.5) | 50% | +101% | - |
| 12 | Bulgaria (-4.5) | 50% | +101% | - |
| 13 | Luxembourg O/U 4.5 | 49% | +104% | $10 |
| 14 | Bulgaria 1st Half O/U 2.5 | 48% | +106% | $5 |
| 15 | 2nd Half O/U 3.5 | 48% | +106% | - |
| 16 | 2nd Half O/U 4.5 | 48% | +106% | - |
| 17 | Bulgaria 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 48% | +108% | - |
| 18 | Luxembourg 1st Half O/U 2.5 | 46% | +118% | $10 |
| 19 | Bulgaria O/U 5.5 | 46% | +118% | $202 |
| 20 | Luxembourg 1st Half O/U 3.5 BEST VALUE | 46% | +119% | $10 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
More markets for the UEFA Nations League game, scheduled for September 26 at 12:00 PM ET.
This prediction market tracks whether Bulgaria vs. Luxembourg - More Markets will occur, with $18K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: O/U 0.5 is priced at 88%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $16K traded in the last 24 hours alone (88% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-09-26. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Sep 26, 2026 at 10:55 UTC, the leading outcome is O/U 0.5 at 88% probability, with $18K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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