No clear favorite. Türkiye leads at just 36%. Many possible outcomes.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Türkiye | 36% | +174% | $8K |
| 2 | Italy | 36% | +174% | $11K |
| 3 | Draw (Türkiye vs. Italy) BEST VALUE | 28% | +264% | $1K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This event is for the upcoming UEFA Nations League game, scheduled for Monday, September 28, 2026 between Türkiye and Italy.
This prediction market tracks whether Türkiye vs. Italy will occur, with $20K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
No clear favorite has emerged — Türkiye leads at only 36% across 3 possible outcomes. Markets with this level of uncertainty typically offer the highest potential returns but also carry the greatest risk.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $13K traded in the last 24 hours alone (64% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-09-28. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Sep 28, 2026 at 03:05 UTC, the leading outcome is Türkiye at 36% probability, with $20K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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