The market strongly favors Blake Moore at 98%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Blake Moore | 98% | +2% | $19K |
| 2 | Candidate F BEST VALUE | 50% | +100% | - |
| 3 | Candidate E | 50% | +100% | - |
| 4 | Candidate A | 50% | +100% | - |
| 5 | Candidate B | 50% | +100% | - |
| 6 | Candidate C | 50% | +100% | - |
| 7 | Candidate D | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | Candidate H | 50% | +100% | - |
| 9 | Candidate G | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | Candidate I | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | Candidate J | 50% | +100% | - |
| 12 | Other | 50% | +100% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the UT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 m...
This prediction market tracks whether UT-02 Republican Primary Winner will occur, with $33K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by available information and market participant behavior.
The market shows strong consensus: Blake Moore is priced at 98%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $29K traded in the last 24 hours alone (86% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
As of Jun 18, 2026 at 04:15 UTC, the leading outcome is Blake Moore at 98% probability, with $33K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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