The market strongly favors Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-3.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+3.5) at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-3.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+3.5) | 100% | - | $100 |
| 2 | Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-4.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+4.5) | 100% | - | $172 |
| 3 | Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-5.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+5.5) | 100% | - | $116 |
| 4 | Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-2.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+2.5) | 100% | - | $182 |
| 5 | Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-6.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+6.5) | 100% | - | $10 |
| 6 | Map Handicap: LEV (-1.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+1.5) | 100% | +0% | $36K |
| 7 | Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-3.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+3.5) | 100% | +0% | $226 |
| 8 | Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-4.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+4.5) | 100% | +0% | $56 |
| 9 | Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-2.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+2.5) | 100% | +0% | $61 |
| 10 | Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-5.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+5.5) | 100% | +0% | $61 |
| 11 | Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-6.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+6.5) | 90% | +11% | $5 |
| 12 | Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-7.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+7.5) | 90% | +11% | $5 |
| 13 | Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.5 | 90% | +11% | $5 |
| 14 | Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.5 | 53% | +89% | - |
| 15 | Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-7.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+7.5) | 52% | +94% | - |
| 16 | Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.5 | 52% | +94% | - |
| 17 | Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 50% | +98% | $3K |
| 18 | Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 BEST VALUE | 50% | +100% | - |
| 19 | Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% | +100% | $8 |
| 20 | Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-4.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+4.5) | 50% | +100% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the Valorant match between Evil Geniuses and Leviatán Esports in the VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha, initially scheduled for July 23 at 5:00PM ET. This market will resolve to...
This prediction market tracks whether Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha will occur, with $207K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-3.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+3.5) is priced at 100%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $207K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-07-24. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jul 23, 2026 at 23:55 UTC, the leading outcome is Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-3.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+3.5) at 100% probability, with $207K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $207K, with $207K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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