Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 leads at 62%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 62% | +63% | - |
| 2 | Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 62% | +63% | - |
| 3 | Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 60% | +68% | - |
| 4 | Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% | +98% | - |
| 5 | Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% | +98% | - |
| 6 | Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% | +98% | - |
| 7 | Map 1 Winner | 49% | +104% | - |
| 8 | Map 2 Winner | 49% | +104% | $30 |
| 9 | O/U 2.5 Games | 48% | +108% | - |
| 10 | Match Winner | 48% | +111% | $66K |
| 11 | Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 39% | +156% | - |
| 12 | Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-2.5) vs Gentle Mates (+2.5) | 38% | +163% | - |
| 13 | Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 38% | +167% | - |
| 14 | Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 38% | +167% | - |
| 15 | Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-2.5) vs Natus Vincere (+2.5) | 38% | +167% | $547 |
| 16 | Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-2.5) vs Natus Vincere (+2.5) | 37% | +170% | - |
| 17 | Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-2.5) vs Gentle Mates (+2.5) | 37% | +170% | - |
| 18 | Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-2.5) vs Gentle Mates (+2.5) | 37% | +170% | - |
| 19 | Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-2.5) vs Natus Vincere (+2.5) | 36% | +174% | $50 |
| 20 | Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Gentle Mates (+1.5) BEST VALUE | 26% | +277% | $878 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the Valorant match between Gentle Mates and Natus Vincere in the VCT EMEA Group Alpha, initially scheduled for July 23 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Gentle Mates" i...
This prediction market tracks whether Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha will occur, with $67K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 at 62%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $65K traded in the last 24 hours alone (97% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-07-24. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jul 23, 2026 at 00:05 UTC, the leading outcome is Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 at 62% probability, with $67K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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