The market strongly favors Map 1 Winner at 91%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Map 1 Winner | 91% | +10% | $48K |
| 2 | Match Winner | 86% | +16% | $56K |
| 3 | Map 2 Winner | 68% | +46% | $937 |
| 4 | Map Handicap: MIBR (-1.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+1.5) | 64% | +57% | $11K |
| 5 | Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 51% | +96% | - |
| 6 | Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 BEST VALUE | 50% | +100% | - |
| 7 | Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 9 | Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-2.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+2.5) | 50% | +100% | $2K |
| 10 | Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-2.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+2.5) | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 12 | Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 13 | Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 14 | Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 50% | +100% | $13 |
| 15 | Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 16 | Map 3 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-2.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+2.5) | 50% | +100% | - |
| 17 | Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-3.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+3.5) | 50% | +100% | - |
| 18 | Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-3.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+3.5) | 50% | +100% | $47 |
| 19 | Map 3 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-3.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+3.5) | 50% | +100% | - |
| 20 | Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the Valorant Lower bracket round 1 match between MIBR and Evil Geniuses in the VCT Americas Stage 2 Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 29, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET. This market...
This prediction market tracks whether Valorant: MIBR vs Evil Geniuses (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Playoffs will occur, with $119K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Map 1 Winner is priced at 91%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $106K traded in the last 24 hours alone (90% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-08-30. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Aug 30, 2026 at 00:55 UTC, the leading outcome is Map 1 Winner at 91% probability, with $119K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $119K, with $106K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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