The market strongly favors Map 1 Winner at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Map 1 Winner | 100% | +0% | $44K |
| 2 | Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Pcific Esports (-2.5) vs Gentle Mates (+2.5) | 100% | +0% | $60 |
| 3 | Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Pcific Esports (-4.5) vs Gentle Mates (+4.5) | 100% | +1% | $25 |
| 4 | Match Winner | 60% | +67% | $117K |
| 5 | Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Pcific Esports (-3.5) vs Gentle Mates (+3.5) | 53% | +89% | $10 |
| 6 | O/U 2.5 Games | 52% | +90% | $864 |
| 7 | Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Pcific Esports (-5.5) vs Gentle Mates (+5.5) | 50% | +98% | $10 |
| 8 | Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Pcific Esports (-6.5) vs Gentle Mates (+6.5) | 50% | +98% | $5 |
| 9 | Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.5 | 50% | +98% | $5 |
| 10 | Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Pcific Esports (-7.5) vs Gentle Mates (+7.5) | 50% | +98% | $5 |
| 11 | Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-3.5) vs Pcific Esports (+3.5) BEST VALUE | 50% | +100% | - |
| 12 | Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 13 | Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 14 | Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 15 | Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-3.5) vs Pcific Esports (+3.5) | 50% | +100% | - |
| 16 | Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 50% | +100% | $491 |
| 17 | Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 50% | +100% | $187 |
| 18 | Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 19 | Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 20 | Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the Valorant match between Pcific Esports and Gentle Mates in the VCT EMEA Group Alpha, initially scheduled for July 16 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Pcific Esports...
This prediction market tracks whether Valorant: Pcific Esports vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha will occur, with $183K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Map 1 Winner is priced at 100%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $183K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-07-16. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jul 16, 2026 at 18:25 UTC, the leading outcome is Map 1 Winner at 100% probability, with $183K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $183K, with $183K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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