Match Winner leads at 68%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Match Winner | 68% | +46% | $15K |
| 2 | Map 1 Winner | 65% | +54% | - |
| 3 | Map 2 Winner | 64% | +56% | - |
| 4 | Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Shopify Rebellion Black (-2.5) vs QoR (+2.5) | 52% | +92% | - |
| 5 | O/U 2.5 Games | 51% | +96% | - |
| 6 | Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Shopify Rebellion Black (-2.5) vs QoR (+2.5) | 51% | +96% | - |
| 7 | Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 51% | +96% | - |
| 8 | Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 9 | Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | Map Handicap: SRB (-1.5) vs QoR (+1.5) | 49% | +104% | - |
| 11 | Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Shopify Rebellion Black (-2.5) vs QoR (+2.5) BEST VALUE | 48% | +108% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the Valorant Lower bracket quarterfinal 1 match between Shopify Rebellion Black and QoR in the VCL North America: Stage 3 Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 9 at 4:00PM ET....
This prediction market tracks whether Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Black vs QoR (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Playoffs will occur, with $15K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward Match Winner at 68%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $15K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-07-10. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jul 09, 2026 at 22:35 UTC, the leading outcome is Match Winner at 68% probability, with $15K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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