The market strongly favors ↓ 60,000 at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ↓ 60,000 | 100% | - | $10 |
| 2 | ↑ 62,500 | 76% | +31% | $1K |
| 3 | ↓ 57,500 | 74% | +36% | $54K |
| 4 | ↑ 65,000 | 48% | +108% | $7K |
| 5 | ↓ 55,000 | 44% | +127% | $1K |
| 6 | ↑ 67,500 | 33% | +203% | $82K |
| 7 | ↓ 52,500 | 26% | +277% | $1K |
| 8 | ↑ 70,000 | 18% | +471% | $56K |
| 9 | ↓ 50,000 | 16% | +525% | $14K |
| 10 | ↓ 47,500 | 10% | +953% | $4K |
| 11 | ↑ 72,500 BEST VALUE | 6% | +1567% | $454 |
| 12 | ↓ 45,000 | 4% | +2122% | $100 |
| 13 | ↑ 75,000 | 3% | +3536% | $1K |
| 14 | ↓ 42,500 | 2% | +3982% | $33 |
| 15 | ↓ 40,000 | 2% | +5614% | $3K |
| 16 | ↑ 77,500 | 2% | +5961% | $2K |
| 17 | ↑ 80,000 | 1% | +8233% | $4 |
| 18 | ↓ 37,500 | 1% | +8991% | $168 |
| 19 | ↑ 82,500 | 1% | +14186% | $31K |
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What price will Bitcoin hit in July?
This prediction market tracks whether What price will Bitcoin hit in July? will occur, with $263K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by cryptocurrency market dynamics, regulatory developments, and on-chain sentiment.
The market shows strong consensus: ↓ 60,000 is priced at 100%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $263K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-08-01. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jul 01, 2026 at 19:15 UTC, the leading outcome is ↓ 60,000 at 100% probability, with $263K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $263K, with $263K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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