The market strongly favors ↓ 77,500 at 94%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ↓ 77,500 | 94% | +7% | $423 |
| 2 | ↑ 80,000 | 80% | +24% | $11K |
| 3 | ↓ 75,000 | 69% | +45% | $4K |
| 4 | ↑ 82,500 | 60% | +68% | $617 |
| 5 | ↓ 72,500 | 48% | +111% | $5K |
| 6 | ↑ 85,000 | 42% | +135% | $434 |
| 7 | ↓ 70,000 | 32% | +212% | $11K |
| 8 | ↑ 87,500 | 26% | +277% | $2K |
| 9 | ↓ 67,500 | 18% | +441% | $11K |
| 10 | ↑ 90,000 | 16% | +545% | $614 |
| 11 | ↓ 65,000 | 12% | +770% | $3K |
| 12 | ↑ 92,500 | 10% | +953% | $920 |
| 13 | ↑ 95,000 BEST VALUE | 6% | +1438% | $174 |
| 14 | ↓ 62,500 | 6% | +1438% | $13K |
| 15 | ↓ 60,000 | 4% | +2122% | $1K |
| 16 | ↑ 97,500 | 4% | +2717% | $111 |
| 17 | ↓ 57,500 | 3% | +3179% | $1K |
| 18 | ↑ 100,000 | 3% | +3822% | $1K |
| 19 | ↓ 55,000 | 2% | +4551% | $6K |
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What price will Bitcoin hit in November?
This prediction market tracks whether What price will Bitcoin hit in November? will occur, with $72K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by cryptocurrency market dynamics, regulatory developments, and on-chain sentiment.
The market shows strong consensus: ↓ 77,500 is priced at 94%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $72K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-12-01. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Nov 01, 2026 at 10:35 UTC, the leading outcome is ↓ 77,500 at 94% probability, with $72K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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