The market strongly favors ↑ 82,000 at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ↑ 82,000 | 100% | - | $3K |
| 2 | ↑ 84,000 | 24% | +326% | $88K |
| 3 | ↓ 78,000 | 12% | +700% | $103K |
| 4 | ↑ 86,000 BEST VALUE | 6% | +1670% | $106K |
| 5 | ↑ 88,000 | 3% | +2977% | $90K |
| 6 | ↓ 76,000 | 2% | +4067% | $54K |
| 7 | ↓ 74,000 | 1% | +8596% | $49K |
| 8 | ↑ 90,000 | 1% | +8991% | $89K |
| 9 | ↓ 72,000 | 1% | +14186% | $10K |
| 10 | ↓ 70,000 | 1% | +16567% | $15K |
| 11 | ↓ 68,000 | 1% | +16567% | $21K |
| 12 | ↑ 92,000 | 1% | +18082% | $58K |
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What price will Bitcoin hit May 11-17?
As of May 15, 2026 at 00:35 UTC, the leading outcome is ↑ 82,000 at 100% probability, with $780K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $780K, with $262K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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