Speaker 10+ times leads at 82%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Speaker 10+ times | 82% | +23% | $5K |
| 2 | Ukraine | 75% | +33% | $545 |
| 3 | Iran / Iranian | 70% | +44% | $1K |
| 4 | Police | 64% | +56% | $3K |
| 5 | NHS 3+ times | 56% | +79% | $3K |
| 6 | Immigrant / Immigration | 51% | +96% | $305 |
| 7 | London | 47% | +113% | $2K |
| 8 | Oil / Gas / Gasoline | 46% | +117% | $793 |
| 9 | NATO | 44% | +130% | $285 |
| 10 | Trump | 40% | +153% | $2K |
| 11 | Nuclear | 30% | +239% | $555 |
| 12 | King | 29% | +243% | $773 |
| 13 | Starmer | 28% | +264% | $1K |
| 14 | Muslim BEST VALUE | 13% | +669% | $125 |
| 15 | -No Qualifying Event- | 2% | +4778% | $201 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
Andy Burnham is scheduled to participate in the Prime Minister's Questions (PMQs) in the Commons Chamber in the Palace of Westminster on every Wednesday. (https://www.parliament.uk/visiting/visiting-a...
This prediction market tracks whether What will Andy Burnham say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event? will occur, with $20K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by polling data, political developments, and historical voting patterns.
Traders lean toward Speaker 10+ times at 82%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $9K traded in the last 24 hours alone (46% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-08-26. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Sep 01, 2026 at 01:35 UTC, the leading outcome is Speaker 10+ times at 82% probability, with $20K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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