The market strongly favors Cookie at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cookie | 100% | $2K |
| 2 | Crazy 15+ times | 100% | $1K |
| 3 | Invasion | 8% | $619 |
| 4 | People 100+ times | 2% | $2K |
| 5 | Simulation | 2% | $1K |
| 6 | Military | 1% | $1K |
| 7 | Israel | 1% | $640 |
| 8 | War / Conflict | 1% | $7K |
| 9 | Crack / Cocaine | 1% | $2K |
| 10 | Matrix | 1% | $1K |
| 11 | Trump | 1% | $1K |
| 12 | Iran | 1% | $8K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
The Joe Rogan Experience podcast releases episodes on https://www.youtube.com/@joerogan. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during the first released episode...
As of Mar 31, 2026 at 20:50 UTC, the leading outcome is Cookie at 100% probability, with $45K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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