The market strongly favors Little Brother at 98%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Little Brother | 98% | +2% | $14K |
| 2 | Movie E BEST VALUE | 50% | +100% | - |
| 3 | Other | 50% | +100% | - |
| 4 | Movie A | 50% | +100% | - |
| 5 | Movie G | 50% | +100% | - |
| 6 | Movie B | 50% | +100% | - |
| 7 | Movie C | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | Movie D | 50% | +100% | - |
| 9 | Movie F | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | Voicemails for Isabelle | 2% | +5614% | $12K |
| 11 | Maternal Instinct | 1% | +18082% | $8K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, June 30, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will reso...
This prediction market tracks whether What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? will occur, with $42K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by social media trends, industry insider signals, and historical patterns.
The market shows strong consensus: Little Brother is priced at 98%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $22K traded in the last 24 hours alone (53% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-06-30. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jun 30, 2026 at 00:05 UTC, the leading outcome is Little Brother at 98% probability, with $42K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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