Little House on the Prairie: Season 1 leads at 63%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Little House on the Prairie: Season 1 | 63% | +59% | $12K |
| 2 | Show A | 50% | +100% | - |
| 3 | Show B | 50% | +100% | - |
| 4 | Show C | 50% | +100% | - |
| 5 | Show D | 50% | +100% | - |
| 6 | Show E | 50% | +100% | - |
| 7 | Show F | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | Show G | 50% | +100% | - |
| 9 | Other | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | The Hawk: Season 1 BEST VALUE | 38% | +167% | $1K |
| 11 | Worst Neighbor Ever: Season 1 | 1% | +16567% | $509 |
| 12 | Salish & Jordan Matter: Season 2 | 1% | +18082% | $403 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, July 21, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will re...
This prediction market tracks whether What will be the top US Netflix show this week? will occur, with $17K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by social media trends, industry insider signals, and historical patterns.
Traders lean toward Little House on the Prairie: Season 1 at 63%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $13K traded in the last 24 hours alone (79% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-07-21. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jul 18, 2026 at 23:05 UTC, the leading outcome is Little House on the Prairie: Season 1 at 63% probability, with $17K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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