The market strongly favors The Idaho Murders: College Nightmare: Season 1 at 96%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | The Idaho Murders: College Nightmare: Season 1 | 96% | +5% | $7K |
| 2 | Show A BEST VALUE | 50% | +100% | - |
| 3 | Show B | 50% | +100% | - |
| 4 | Show C | 50% | +100% | - |
| 5 | Show D | 50% | +100% | - |
| 6 | Show E | 50% | +100% | - |
| 7 | Show F | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | Other | 50% | +100% | - |
| 9 | My Life with the Walter Boys: Season 3 | 4% | +2497% | $3K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 11, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will...
This prediction market tracks whether What will be the top US Netflix show this week? will occur, with $22K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by social media trends, industry insider signals, and historical patterns.
The market shows strong consensus: The Idaho Murders: College Nightmare: Season 1 is priced at 96%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $21K traded in the last 24 hours alone (92% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-08-11. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Aug 07, 2026 at 17:35 UTC, the leading outcome is The Idaho Murders: College Nightmare: Season 1 at 96% probability, with $22K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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