The market strongly favors Mr. Speaker 20+ times at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mr. Speaker 20+ times | 100% | - | $1K |
| 2 | Mr. Speaker 30+ times | 100% | - | $8K |
| 3 | Thank 10+ times | 100% | - | $1K |
| 4 | Hate / Hatred | 100% | - | $323 |
| 5 | Violent / Violence | 100% | - | $305 |
| 6 | Defense | 100% | - | $241 |
| 7 | Constituent / Constituency | 100% | - | $577 |
| 8 | Trump | 100% | - | $732 |
| 9 | Record Investment | 100% | - | $257 |
| 10 | Condolences | 100% | - | $794 |
| 11 | Poverty | 100% | - | $590 |
| 12 | Waiting List | 100% | - | $412 |
| 13 | Russia / Ukraine | 100% | - | $599 |
| 14 | World Cup | 100% | - | $2K |
| 15 | Labour | 100% | - | $643 |
| 16 | Public | 100% | - | $345 |
| 17 | Social Media | 100% | - | $589 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
Keir Starmer is scheduled to participate in the Prime Minister's Questions (PMQs) in the Commons Chamber in the Palace of Westminster on every Wednesday. (https://www.parliament.uk/visiting/visiting-a...
This prediction market tracks whether What will Keir Starmer say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event? will occur, with $26K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by polling data, political developments, and historical voting patterns.
The market shows strong consensus: Mr. Speaker 20+ times is priced at 100%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $18K traded in the last 24 hours alone (71% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-07-08. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jul 16, 2026 at 04:35 UTC, the leading outcome is Mr. Speaker 20+ times at 100% probability, with $26K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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