Apple leads at 82%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Apple | 82% | +21% | $4K |
| 2 | Hundred / Thousand / Million 5+ times | 60% | +67% | $163 |
| 3 | -No Qualifying Event- | 19% | +438% | $9K |
| 4 | Hundred / Thousand / Million 10+ times | 18% | +441% | $1K |
| 5 | Feastable / Feastables | 18% | +441% | $14K |
| 6 | Darius | 18% | +471% | $253 |
| 7 | Sponsor / Sponsored / Sponsoring | 18% | +471% | $2K |
| 8 | Lamborghini | 16% | +525% | $72 |
| 9 | Subscriber | 15% | +567% | $2K |
| 10 | Chandler | 14% | +590% | $5K |
| 11 | Eliminate / Eliminated | 14% | +590% | $1K |
| 12 | Cheat / Cheater | 14% | +590% | $443 |
| 13 | Dollar 10+ times | 14% | +641% | $1K |
| 14 | Prize | 13% | +672% | $4K |
| 15 | Survivor | 12% | +700% | $371 |
| 16 | Sport | 10% | +852% | $1K |
| 17 | Red Line | 8% | +1190% | $1K |
| 18 | Hottest | 7% | +1329% | $631 |
| 19 | America | 7% | +1360% | $2K |
| 20 | Calendar BEST VALUE | 7% | +1371% | $539 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
MrBeast releases videos on https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mr Beast says the listed term during the next video he releases on YouTube. Otherwise, the market wil...
This prediction market tracks whether What will MrBeast say during his next YouTube video? will occur, with $54K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by social media trends, industry insider signals, and historical patterns.
Traders lean toward Apple at 82%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $10K traded in the last 24 hours alone (19% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-07-11. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jul 24, 2026 at 20:35 UTC, the leading outcome is Apple at 82% probability, with $54K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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