The market strongly favors Israel 10+ times at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Israel 10+ times | 100% | - | $2K |
| 2 | Settler / Settlement | 100% | - | $1K |
| 3 | Violence | 100% | - | $852 |
| 4 | Yemen / Houthis | 100% | - | $2K |
| 5 | Nuclear | 100% | - | $3K |
| 6 | AI / Artificial Intelligence | 100% | +0% | $3K |
| 7 | Zohran / Mamdani | 100% | +0% | $12K |
| 8 | Regime 5+ times | 99% | +1% | $350 |
| 9 | Terror / Terrorist / Terrorism 5+ times | 98% | +2% | $461 |
| 10 | Antisemitic / Antisemitism | 98% | +2% | $3K |
| 11 | Iran / Lebanon 5+ times | 90% | +11% | $1K |
| 12 | Abraham Accords | 44% | +125% | $692 |
| 13 | Ceasefire | 42% | +138% | $781 |
| 14 | Drone | 30% | +228% | $602 |
| 15 | Trump 3+ times | 18% | +457% | $2K |
| 16 | Uranium | 16% | +527% | $978 |
| 17 | Negotiate / Negotiated / Negotiation BEST VALUE | 9% | +1017% | $1K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
Benjamin Netanyahu is scheduled to speak during the United Nations General Assembly on September 24, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Benjamin Netanyahu says the listed term during the spec...
This prediction market tracks whether What will Netanyahu say during the United Nations General Assembly? will occur, with $39K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by polling data, political developments, and historical voting patterns.
The market shows strong consensus: Israel 10+ times is priced at 100%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $18K traded in the last 24 hours alone (46% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-09-24. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Sep 24, 2026 at 20:25 UTC, the leading outcome is Israel 10+ times at 100% probability, with $39K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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