No clear favorite. $2.5T+ leads at just 21%. Many possible outcomes.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | $2.5T+ | 21% | +367% | $66K |
| 2 | $1.5T–$1.75T | 21% | +385% | $18K |
| 3 | $1.75T–$2.0T | 20% | +413% | $33K |
| 4 | <$1T | 19% | +432% | $53K |
| 5 | $1.25T–$1.5T | 12% | +758% | $18K |
| 6 | $2.25T–$2.5T BEST VALUE | 7% | +1393% | $12K |
| 7 | $2.0T–$2.25T | 5% | +2028% | $4K |
| 8 | $1.0T–$1.25T | 3% | +3409% | $34K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of OpenAI at its initial public offering (IPO) price. The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by t...
This prediction market tracks whether What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be? will occur, with $238K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by available information and market participant behavior.
No clear favorite has emerged — $2.5T+ leads at only 21% across 8 possible outcomes. Markets with this level of uncertainty typically offer the highest potential returns but also carry the greatest risk.
Recent trading volume of $15K in 24 hours shows healthy market activity. Active markets tend to produce more accurate probability estimates, as continuous trading ensures prices quickly incorporate new information.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2028-01-01. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Sep 30, 2026 at 13:05 UTC, the leading outcome is $2.5T+ at 21% probability, with $238K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $238K, with $15K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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