This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for March 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered. Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered. All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
| # | Outcome | Probability | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ↑ $6,800 | 100% | - |
| 2 | ↓ $6,600 | 100% | - |
| 3 | ↓ $6,500 | 100% | - |
| 4 | ↓ $6,400 | 100% | $73K |
| 5 | ↓ $6,300 | 44% | $175K |
| 6 | ↓ $6,200 | 5% | $47K |
| 7 | ↓ $6,000 | 1% | $60K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
As of Mar 30, 2026 at 21:50 UTC, the leading outcome is ↑ $6,800 at 100% probability, with $914K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $914K, with $49K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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