No clear favorite. by June 30, 2027 leads at just 36%. Many possible outcomes.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | by June 30, 2027 | 36% | +178% | $1K |
| 2 | by September 30, 2027 | 36% | +178% | $14K |
| 3 | by March 31, 2027 | 30% | +233% | $1K |
| 4 | by December 31, 2027 | 28% | +264% | $142 |
| 5 | by December 31, 2026 BEST VALUE | 19% | +426% | $641 |
| 6 | by September 30, 2026 | 4% | +2640% | $12K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Ethereum (ETH/USDT) from the creation of this market until 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title has a final "...
This prediction market tracks whether When will Ethereum hit $4k? will occur, with $28K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by cryptocurrency market dynamics, regulatory developments, and on-chain sentiment.
No clear favorite has emerged — by June 30, 2027 leads at only 36% across 6 possible outcomes. Markets with this level of uncertainty typically offer the highest potential returns but also carry the greatest risk.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $15K traded in the last 24 hours alone (55% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2028-01-01. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Aug 28, 2026 at 06:55 UTC, the leading outcome is by June 30, 2027 at 36% probability, with $28K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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